Saturday, August 28, 2010

Running cold


The laws of averages have started to catch up with me. I had a session last Thursday where, in the span of 2 hands, I lost 800 in between expected and actual. As you can see, after that, my play deteriorated and even my "Net expected Won" graph is showing a downward trend.

Ladies and gentlemen, I WENT ON TILT. I lost control. I was so pissed that on one hand I lost on another shitty river, I screamed FUCK so loud from my basement, my wife heard it on the second floor as she was falling asleep. Needless to say, she wasn't too pleased about that.

I was out about $4000 at one point (the graphs show only all-in EV) and brought it back to a $2000 loss for the night. It was bound to happen. I had gotten unstuck so many times before, that I was tempting fate doing it over and over again.

I've got another graph for you:

This is the graph for the year since I've got PT3. I think the switch at 10k hands is around the point I started playing more 400PLO8. Up to that point I was killing the 200PLO8. I think a drop down in levels is in order. I'm going to cash out to artificially reduce my bankroll and that will force me down a notch.

My super aggro game isn't working too well at the higher level likely because of the other super aggro players there too. I'm super aggro PF, but I tend to tighten up after and may be folding too many good situations post-flop. I'll have to revisit my 400PLO8 strategy. There are some fish there, but I should study all the opponents and figure out which ones are targeting me and adjust my play to counteract theirs.

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