Sunday, August 15, 2010

EV graphs

As promised, here are my cumulative EV graphs for the past few months, as well as the one from the session a few nights agoAs you can see, I'm running a tad (2.5-3x ish) better than expectation, but the expectation is trending upwards as well so I'm doing things right. Some might say that I should be expecting variation to catch up with me soon. I say it actually is, in that this rush is the variation compensation for the awful 2009.

And here is the EV graph of the last session. In the first 200 hands, I should have been down, $200, but not $1200, yet there I was, with that low of ($2100). What I need to channel is the focus I have when I'm there. Seriously, if I could just start a session at that point, and play the next 700 hands, it would be a $2k win night.

But let's be realistic. Once I'm up $1k on the night, I'll be thinking about locking that in, which means I won't be playing my best poker. I'll be tentative on the big pots, and should I get a cooler here or there and lose a big pot, I may lose focus rather than gain it, since I'll be disappointed I didn't walk away when I was good.

Just another thing I need to work on.

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